Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chebba vs CO Medenine

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mrabet Y.
23' Event
Chalouf G.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Ben Ali A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2023/2024 game between Chebba and CO Medenine finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chebba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chebba
30%
Draws
23%
CO Medenine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chebba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chebba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chebba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chebba here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chebba Clean Sheet 18%
CO Medenine Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chebba CO Medenine
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.36 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2024 Ligue 2
CO Medenine vs Chebba
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tunisia Cup
CO Medenine vs Chebba
0:1
Nov 25, 2023 Ligue 2
Chebba vs CO Medenine
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chebba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrabet Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Ali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

CO Medenine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chebba 85 / 100
CO Medenine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chebba CO Medenine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chebba's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

CO Medenine let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Chebba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chebba VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chebba

(Home)
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1
Chebba
Page 1 of 8

CO Medenine

(Away)
13 Jun
CO Medenine
1 : 0
Moknine
07 Jun
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 1
CO Medenine
01 Jun
Zarzis
1 : 0
CO Medenine
25 May
CO Medenine
1 : 1
AS Gabes
06 May
CO Medenine
1 : 1
Chebba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jeunesse Sportive 24 16 6 2 49:14 54
2 Jendouba Sport 24 15 5 4 32:16 50
3 Korba 24 11 8 5 32:23 41
4 Hamam-Sousse 24 11 5 8 31:26 38
5 Hammam-Lif 24 10 6 8 35:25 36
6 Ariana 24 11 2 11 27:29 35
7 JS Kairouan 24 6 11 7 22:22 29
8 Oued Ellil 24 8 4 12 12:24 28
9 Kalaa 24 4 12 8 17:25 24
10 Rades 24 6 6 12 20:32 24
11 Msaken 24 6 6 12 13:23 24
12 Tabarka 24 6 6 12 20:34 24
13 Sporting Ben Arous 24 4 7 13 14:31 19
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zarzis 24 18 4 2 43:10 58
2 AS Gabes 24 17 3 4 41:14 54
3 Stade Gabesien 24 10 6 8 25:24 36
4 Moknine 24 10 5 9 29:27 35
5 Chebba 24 9 8 7 22:24 35
6 EM Mahdia 24 9 6 9 28:29 33
7 Djelma 24 8 7 9 24:27 31
8 Sidi Bouzid 24 7 9 8 24:26 30
9 Kerkennah 24 6 11 7 23:25 29
10 ES Jerba 24 8 5 11 19:26 29
11 Espoir Rogba 24 5 7 12 18:32 22
12 CO Medenine 24 4 9 11 21:30 21
13 Rejiche 24 3 4 17 17:40 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)