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Chebba vs Sfax Railways - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Abdelkarim H.
59' Event
Omri H.
86' Event
Achouri Y.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Chebba and Sfax Railways finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sfax Railways.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chebba
35%
Draws
31%
Sfax Railways
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chebba haven't matched Sfax Railways's recent run of results.
  • Chebba are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Chebba Clean Sheet 18%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chebba Sfax Railways
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Sfax Railways
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Sfax Railways
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Chebba
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Chebba
3:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Sfax Railways
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chebba Compare

Top Goalscorer Achouri Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sfax Railways Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelkarim H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omri H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chebba 36 / 100
Sfax Railways 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chebba Sfax Railways

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chebba scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Chebba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sfax Railways has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chebba VS Sfax Railways
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chebba

(Home)
10 Oct
AS Gabes
1 : 2
Chebba
03 Oct
Msaken
0 : 0
Chebba
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2
Sfax Railways
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
Page 1 of 6

Sfax Railways

(Away)
10 Oct
ES Beni-Khalled
0 : 0
Sfax Railways
03 Oct
Sfax Railways
0 : 0
AS Gabes
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2
Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2
Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Megrine 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Msaken 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
4 Sfax Railways 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
5 Soliman 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
6 Stade Soussien 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
7 Chebba 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 BS Bouhajla 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
9 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
10 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
11 ES Beni-Khalled 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
12 AS Gabes 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
2 Korba 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
4 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
5 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)