Sport Picks

Chelmianka Chelm vs Korona Kielce II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chelmianka Chelm host Korona Kielce II in the III Liga - Group IV. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Chelmianka Chelm at 2.03 goals for, 0.83 against; Korona Kielce II at 1.9 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Chelmianka Chelm slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.19) back Chelmianka Chelm to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Chelmianka Chelm

35%

Draws

34%

Korona Kielce II

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Chelmianka Chelm come out ahead of Korona Kielce II on wins alone.
34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%

Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chelmianka Chelm	Korona Kielce II
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	20	13
Draws	7	5
Losses	3	13
Goals Scored	2.03	1.9
Goals Conceded	0.83	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Korona Kielce II

4:1

Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II vs Chelmianka Chelm

3:1

May 16, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Korona Kielce II

1:2

Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II vs Chelmianka Chelm

2:4

May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II vs Chelmianka Chelm

3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmianka Chelm 36 / 100

Korona Kielce II 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chelmianka Chelm Korona Kielce II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelmianka Chelm found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Korona Kielce II has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Chelmianka Chelm has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chelmianka Chelm VS Korona Kielce II

1.5 Goals Scored 1.75

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History