Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Karpaty Krosno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Korbecki B.
46' Event
Kobialka M.
48' Event
Stepien D.

AI Match Summary

Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chelmianka Chelm
17%
Draws
70%
KS Karpaty Krosno
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: KS Karpaty Krosno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chelmianka Chelm lately — more wins on the board than KS Karpaty Krosno.
  • KS Karpaty Krosno are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%
KS Karpaty Krosno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelmianka Chelm KS Karpaty Krosno
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Karpaty Krosno
6:0
Sep 30, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Chelmianka Chelm
3:4
May 30, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:0
Oct 27, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Karpaty Krosno
1:0
Mar 19, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Karpaty Krosno
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Korbecki B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobialka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

KS Karpaty Krosno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmianka Chelm 16 / 100
KS Karpaty Krosno 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelmianka Chelm KS Karpaty Krosno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelmianka Chelm's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

KS Karpaty Krosno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Chelmianka Chelm remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chelmianka Chelm VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelmianka Chelm

(Home)
18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Hetman Zamosc
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0
Naprzod Jedrzejow
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KS Karpaty Krosno

(Away)
12 Feb
KS Karpaty Krosno
2 : 1
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
08 Feb
Unia Tarnow
1 : 4
KS Karpaty Krosno
01 Feb
KS Karpaty Krosno
4 : 1
Igloopol Debica
08 Jun
KS Karpaty Krosno
0 : 1
Wisloka Debica
01 Jun
Unia Tarnow
1 : 4
KS Karpaty Krosno
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KS Wieczysta Krakow34253699:3578
2Siarka Tarnobrzeg34217670:3070
3Star Starachowice34206852:2766
4Avia Swidnik341761160:4157
5Wislanie Skawina341661256:4054
6Biala Podlaska341591047:3554
7Chelmianka Chelm341561361:5851
8Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341471348:4449
9Czarni Polaniec341391258:5448
10Garbarnia3412101249:5846
11Wisloka Debica341291341:5345
12Swidniczanka Swidnik3411111243:4744
13Wiazownica341271555:7343
14Podhale Nowy Targ349121338:4039
15Unia Tarnow341061851:6636
16KS Karpaty Krosno34672126:6725
17Orleta Radzyn34592032:6124
18Sokol Sieniawa34722538:9523
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)