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Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Tomczyk P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Chelmianka Chelm and KS Wieczysta Krakow II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chelmianka Chelm
35%
Draws
23%
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • KS Wieczysta Krakow II haven't matched Chelmianka Chelm's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chelmianka Chelm a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%
KS Wieczysta Krakow II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelmianka Chelm KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 19 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomczyk P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

KS Wieczysta Krakow II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmianka Chelm 49 / 100
KS Wieczysta Krakow II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelmianka Chelm KS Wieczysta Krakow II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelmianka Chelm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelmianka Chelm found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Chelmianka Chelm stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

KS Wieczysta Krakow II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chelmianka Chelm VS KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelmianka Chelm

(Home)
10 Oct
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Star Starachowice
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
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KS Wieczysta Krakow II

(Away)
10 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
03 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1 : 0
Wislanie Skawina
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)