Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2021/2022

Chelmianka Chelm

4 - 1

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Mysliwiecki P.

28'

Mazurek L.

(Penalty)

45'

Czulowski P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2021/2022 game between Chelmianka Chelm and Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Chelmianka Chelm

39%

Draws

31%

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Chelmianka Chelm carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chelmianka Chelm	Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
Matches Played	42	29
Wins	24	6
Draws	10	2
Losses	8	21
Goals Scored	2.25	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

4:1

Nov 7, 2021 III Liga - Group IV

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski vs Chelmianka Chelm

1:1

Apr 3, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII

Chelmianka Chelm vs Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

1:1

Aug 26, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski vs Chelmianka Chelm

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Mysliwiecki P.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Czulowski P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski Compare

Top Goalscorer Kycko R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmianka Chelm 31 / 100

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chelmianka Chelm Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelmianka Chelm scored in 90% of their last 42 games.

Defensive concern: Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Chelmianka Chelm stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelmianka Chelm VS Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

2.25 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelmianka Chelm

(Home)

18 Jul

Chelmianka Chelm

2 : 1

Hetman Zamosc

11 Jul

Leczna

4 : 1

Chelmianka Chelm

04 Jul

Avia Swidnik

2 : 1

Chelmianka Chelm

30 May

Wisloka Debica

1 : 2

Chelmianka Chelm

23 May

Chelmianka Chelm

2 : 0

Naprzod Jedrzejow

Page 1 of 9

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

(Away)

22 Feb

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

2 : 3

Krasnystaw

14 Feb

Lewart Lubartow

2 : 4

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

12 Feb

KS Karpaty Krosno

2 : 1

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

08 Feb

Jaroslaw

2 : 1

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

01 Feb

Hetman Zamosc

0 : 3

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	22	6	6	68:29	72
2	Chelmianka Chelm	34	20	6	8	55:31	66
3	LKS Lagow	34	20	6	8	59:31	66
4	Avia Swidnik	34	20	5	9	67:32	65
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	17	8	9	65:44	59
6	Cracovia II	34	17	7	10	67:38	58
7	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	15	6	13	48:38	51
8	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	14	9	11	41:39	51
9	Unia Tarnow	34	12	12	10	50:48	48
10	Wisloka Debica	34	12	12	10	51:59	48
11	Orleta Radzyn	34	12	10	12	55:52	46
12	Czarni Polaniec	34	11	8	15	47:63	41
13	Sokol Sieniawa	34	11	8	15	38:62	41
14	Biala Podlaska	34	9	12	13	41:49	39
15	Sandomierz	34	8	6	20	42:68	30
16	Korona Rzeszow	34	7	8	19	42:74	29
17	Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski	34	5	6	23	37:69	21
18	Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska	34	4	5	25	30:77	17

Promotion - Division 2 2022/2023 (Main)