Sport Picks
Chelmsford vs Farnborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
AI Match Summary
Chelmsford host Farnborough in the National League South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Farnborough have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Chelmsford have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.67. Head-to-head, Chelmsford have won 1 to Farnborough's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 0.81, favoring Chelmsford. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Farnborough have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — Chelmsford are scoring more at 1.67.
- Win probability leans Chelmsford's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmsford | Farnborough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmsford scored in 89% of their last 27 games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Farnborough let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Chelmsford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmsford
(Home)Farnborough
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 29:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 7 | Dorking Wanderers | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 31:21 | 24 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 9 | Farnham | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 23 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 13 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16:33 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
