Sport Picks
Chelmsford vs Maidenhead Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League South 2025/2026 
Match Events
75'
75'
Barham J.
89'
89'
Umerah J.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Chelmsford and Maidenhead finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Chelmsford carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Chelmsford taking it.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 20%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmsford | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Maidenhead
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Maidenhead
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Maidenhead vs Chelmsford
2:1
Mar 6, 2017 National League South
Chelmsford vs Maidenhead
0:1
Aug 20, 2016 National League South
Maidenhead vs Chelmsford
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Barham J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Maidenhead Compare
Top Goalscorer Umerah J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelmsford 42 / 100
Maidenhead 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelmsford Maidenhead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmsford found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).
Chelmsford has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Maidenhead let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Chelmsford VS Maidenhead
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmsford
(Home) 26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Horsham FC
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
15 Aug
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Truro
25 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 3 Eastbourne Borough
Page 1 of 3
Maidenhead
(Away) 26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4 Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
