Sport Picks
Chelmsford vs Salisbury Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League South Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford 
Match Events
30'
30'
Gallagher R.
40'
40'
Alexander G.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Chelmsford and Salisbury finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salisbury
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Salisbury carry the better recent record into this one.
- 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 17%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmsford | Salisbury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Salisbury
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Salisbury
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 National League South
Salisbury vs Chelmsford
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 National League South
Salisbury vs Chelmsford
1:3
Oct 26, 2024 National League South
Chelmsford vs Salisbury
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexander G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Salisbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallagher R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelmsford 36 / 100
Salisbury 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelmsford Salisbury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salisbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmsford's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Chelmsford remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Salisbury's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chelmsford VS Salisbury
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmsford
(Home) 03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2 Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Horsham FC
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
15 Aug
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Truro
25 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 3 Eastbourne Borough
Page 1 of 3
Salisbury
(Away) 03 Oct
Salisbury
5 : 0 Dulwich Hamlet
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0 Folkestone
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1 Taunton Town
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
29 Aug
Maidstone
2 : 1 Salisbury
15 Aug
Horsham FC
0 : 0 Salisbury
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Red. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Billericay | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Truro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Dover Ath. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Farnham | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 16 | Horsham FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 18 | Chesham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 19 | Braintree | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:24 | 4 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:26 | 2 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
