Sport Picks

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Chelsea U18 vs Millwall U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2019/2020
Chelsea U18 Logo

Chelsea U18

1 - 0
FT
Millwall U18 Logo

Millwall U18

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Broja A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Chelsea U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Chelsea U18
15%
Draws
36%
Millwall U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelsea U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chelsea U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Chelsea U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea U18, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chelsea U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Millwall U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U18 Millwall U18
Matches Played 32 9
Wins 24 5
Draws 1 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 3.22 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2024 FA Youth Cup
Millwall U18 vs Chelsea U18
2:1
Feb 27, 2020 FA Youth Cup
Chelsea U18 vs Millwall U18
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Broja A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Millwall U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U18 85 / 100
Millwall U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U18 Millwall U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U18 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (32 games).

Millwall U18 has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chelsea U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U18 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Bournemouth U18
12 Sept
Brighton U18
1 : 5
Chelsea U18
05 Sept
Fulham U18
4 : 3
Chelsea U18
29 Aug
Chelsea U18
6 : 1
Reading U18
22 Aug
Birmingham U18
1 : 4
Chelsea U18
Page 1 of 7

Millwall U18

(Away)
16 Jan
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Millwall U18
04 Apr
Leeds U18
4 : 3
Millwall U18
21 Feb
Millwall U18
2 : 1
Chelsea U18
02 Feb
Coventry U18
0 : 3
Millwall U18
24 Jan
Grimsby U18
1 : 4
Millwall U18
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Blackburn U18 1
Charlton U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 0
Preston U18 2
Arsenal U18 1
Southampton U18 0
Derby U18 1
Brighton U18 2
Manchester City U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Fulham U18 2
Mansfield U18 0
Burnley U18 3
West Brom U18 4
Middlesbrough U18 1
Chelsea U18 5
Bradford U18 0
Wolves U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 1
Bournemouth U18 1
Cardiff U18 0
Millwall U18 3
Fleetwood Town U18 1
Norwich U18 0
Manchester United U18 2
Leeds U18 3
Sheffield Wed U18 2
Wigan U18 2
Tottenham U18 0
Birmingham U18 2
Barnsley U18 1
1/8-finals
Blackburn U18 4
Preston U18 2
Arsenal U18 4
Brighton U18 3
Manchester City U18 1
Fulham U18 0
Burnley U18 2
West Brom U18 0
Chelsea U18 7
Wolves U18 0
Bournemouth U18 2
Millwall U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Leeds U18 0
Wigan U18 4
Birmingham U18 0
Quarter-finals
Blackburn U18 4
Arsenal U18 1
Manchester City U18 1
Burnley U18 0
Chelsea U18 1
Millwall U18 0
Manchester United U18 2
Wigan U18 1
Semi-finals
Blackburn U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Chelsea U18 1
Manchester United U18 0
Final
Manchester City U18 3
Chelsea U18 2