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Chelsea U19 vs PSV U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Chelsea FC Cobham Training Ground, Surrey
Tue, Feb 3, 2026
2 - 1
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Raap Y.
28'
Nicoll-Jazuli M.
36' Event
Kavuma McQueen R.
Assist: Emenalo L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Chelsea U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chelsea U19
30%
Draws
37%
PSV U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSV U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • PSV U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chelsea U19's way, sitting at 60%.
  • PSV U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 17%
PSV U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 PSV U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.14 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs PSV U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavuma McQueen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

PSV U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouhoudane S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 57 / 100
PSV U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 PSV U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea U19 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

PSV U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chelsea U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS PSV U19
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

PSV U19

(Away)
29 Aug
PSV U19
3 : 3
Feyenoord U19
23 May
PSV U19
3 : 0
Volendam U19
16 May
Ajax U19
1 : 3
PSV U19
09 May
Feyenoord U19
2 : 3
PSV U19
02 May
PSV U19
1 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Koln U19 1
Inter U19 3
Betis U19 5
Tottenham U19 1
Benfica U19 3
Slavia Prague U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Dortmund U19 0
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 6
Maccabi Haifa U19 3
Barcelona U19 2
Zilina U19 2
Liverpool U19 1
Club Brugge U19 3
Monaco U19 2
Real Madrid U19 5
Marseille U19 2
Chelsea U19 2
PSV U19 1
Ath Bilbao U19 2
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 3
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Sporting CP U19 2
Villarreal U19 3
Leverkusen U19 2
Legia U19 2
Ajax U19 1
Din. Minsk U19 0
PSG U19 4
HJK U19 4
Manchester City U19 3
1/8-finals
Inter U19 5
Betis U19 3
Benfica U19 6
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Zilina U19 0
Club Brugge U19 1
Real Madrid U19 1
Chelsea U19 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 0
Sporting CP U19 1
Villarreal U19 2
Legia U19 1
PSG U19 6
HJK U19 1
Quarter-finals
Inter U19 2
Benfica U19 3
Atl. Madrid U19 0
Club Brugge U19 4
Real Madrid U19 2
Sporting CP U19 1
Villarreal U19 0
PSG U19 1
Semi-finals
Benfica U19 1
Club Brugge U19 3
Real Madrid U19 2
PSG U19 1
Final
Club Brugge U19 1
Real Madrid U19 2