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Chelsea U19 vs Qarabag Agdam U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 Cobham Training Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelsea U19 play Qarabag Agdam U19 in the UEFA Youth League 2017/2018. Chelsea U19 are favorites here. Recently, Chelsea U19 averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Qarabag Agdam U19 averaged 0.17 goals scored and 5 conceded. In past meetings, Chelsea U19 won 3, Qarabag Agdam U19 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 5, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.38 for Chelsea U19 and 1.40 for Qarabag Agdam U19. This points to a Chelsea U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chelsea U19
6%
Draws
4%
Qarabag Agdam U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chelsea U19 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Qarabag Agdam U19.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Chelsea U19.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Qarabag Agdam U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 Qarabag Agdam U19
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 14 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.17
Goals Conceded 2.63 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Chelsea U19
0:5
Nov 22, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Chelsea U19
1:3
Sep 12, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Qarabag Agdam U19
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer McCormick L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hudson-Odoi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Qarabag Agdam U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.09

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 95 / 100
Qarabag Agdam U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 Qarabag Agdam U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U19 scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Qarabag Agdam U19 let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Chelsea U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Qarabag Agdam U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS Qarabag Agdam U19
1.75 Goals Scored 0.17
2.63 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 83%
75% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Basel U19632114:1111
2Manchester United U19632111:911
3Benfica U19614110:87
4CSKA Moscow U1961058:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern U19642014:614
2PSG U19631211:910
3Celtic U19620410:156
4Anderlecht U1961146:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chelsea U19650117:715
2Atl. Madrid U19630312:119
3AS Roma U19630311:69
4Qarabag Agdam U1961053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona U19651012:116
2Sporting CP U19623110:69
3Olympiacos Piraeus U1961236:145
4Juventus U1961054:113
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liverpool U19650118:315
2Spartak Moscow U19622211:88
3Sevilla U1962226:128
4Maribor U1961052:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City U19641114:713
2Feyenoord U19623111:89
3Shakhtar U1962137:127
4Napoli U19611412:174
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto U19650115:715
2Monaco U19631215:1010
3RB Leipzig U19612310:125
4Besiktas U1961145:164
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tottenham U19641115:613
2Real Madrid U19631221:1010
3Dortmund U19630314:129
4APOEL U1961052:243