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Chelsea U19 vs Valencia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

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UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 Cobham Training Centre, Cobham
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gonzalez H.
Assist: Aleman P.
13' Event
Anjorin F.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Koindredi K.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 game between Chelsea U19 and Valencia U19 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chelsea U19
20%
Draws
23%
Valencia U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea U19 come out ahead of Valencia U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chelsea U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 Valencia U19
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Valencia U19 vs Chelsea U19
2:1
Sep 17, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Valencia U19
3:3
Feb 23, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Valencia U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Broja A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Valencia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koindredi K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 95 / 100
Valencia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 Valencia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea U19 scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Valencia U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chelsea U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS Valencia U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

Valencia U19

(Away)
10 Jun
Real Madrid U19
4 : 1
Valencia U19
02 Feb
FC Liefering
2 : 1
Valencia U19
10 Dec
Ajax U19
1 : 1
Valencia U19
27 Nov
Valencia U19
2 : 1
Chelsea U19
05 Nov
Valencia U19
1 : 2
Lille U19
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:10 13
2 Club Brugge U19 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
3 PSG U19 6 2 0 4 10:15 6
4 Galatasaray U19 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern U19 6 4 2 0 18:2 14
2 Crvena zvezda U19 6 3 2 1 8:11 11
3 Tottenham U19 6 2 1 3 12:12 7
4 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atalanta U19 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Din. Zagreb U19 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Manchester City U19 6 2 1 3 11:8 7
4 Shakhtar U19 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U19 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
3 Leverkusen U19 6 1 1 4 6:16 4
4 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U19 6 4 1 1 17:6 13
2 Salzburg U19 6 3 1 2 19:11 10
3 Genk U19 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Napoli U19 6 0 2 4 5:23 2
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 4 0 2 15:7 12
2 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
3 Slavia Prague U19 6 3 0 3 9:16 9
4 Barcelona U19 6 1 0 5 8:12 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 17:6 15
2 Lyon U19 6 4 0 2 13:10 12
3 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
4 Zenit St Petersburg U19 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax U19 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
2 Lille U19 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
3 Chelsea U19 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
4 Valencia U19 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)