Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelsea U21 vs Benfica B

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelsea U21 play Benfica B in the Premier League International Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chelsea U21 averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Benfica B averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Chelsea U21 won 0, Benfica B won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 7, 2026 ended 2:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Chelsea U21 and 1.06 for Benfica B. This points to a Benfica B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chelsea U21
17%
Draws
44%
Benfica B
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelsea U21 picked up more points recently compared to Benfica B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 22%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U21 Benfica B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.1 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Chelsea U21 vs Benfica B
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ampah A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Derry J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Benfica B Compare

Top Goalscorer Coletta F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parente T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U21 40 / 100
Benfica B 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U21 Benfica B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Benfica B or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chelsea U21 attacking → ← attacking Benfica B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Benfica B let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Chelsea U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Benfica B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 45
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Everton U21430110:69
2Real Madrid U2142205:28
3Wolves U2142116:37
4Monaco II42027:66
5Manchester City U2141217:75
6Jong PSV41127:84
7RB Leipzig II41126:94
8Southampton U2140132:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Crystal Palace U2143018:49
2Valencia B43018:59
3B. Monchengladbach II43018:69
4Nordsjaelland U2142118:57
5Fulham U2142026:56
6West Brom U2141037:103
7Juventus U2141035:113
8Leicester U2140136:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Sociedad B43106:310
2Dinamo Zagreb 243016:39
3Benfica B422013:48
4PSG U2142117:57
5Brighton U2141216:55
6Nottingham U2141123:34
7Newcastle Utd U2140130:101
8Chelsea U2140046:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dortmund II43018:49
2Manchester United U2143018:79
3Sunderland U21421111:67
4Anderlecht 242119:47
5Leeds U2142024:76
6Sporting CP B41035:73
7Ath Bilbao B41036:113
8West Ham U2141033:83