Sport Picks
Chelsea U21 vs Benfica B
Europe
Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Coletta F.
Assist: Lima I.
24'
24'
Moreira G.
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Parente T.
Assist: Moreira G.
AI Match Summary
Benfica B in this Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Benfica B haven't matched Chelsea U21's recent run of results.
- Chelsea U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Chelsea U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Benfica B, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea U21 | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Chelsea U21 vs Benfica B
2:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ampah A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Derry J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Benfica B Compare
Top Goalscorer Coletta F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Parente T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea U21 48 / 100
Benfica B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea U21 Benfica B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.
Benfica B has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Chelsea U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea U21 VS Benfica B
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea U21
(Home) 19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 4
Benfica B
(Away) 11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3 Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2 Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1 Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2 Benfica B
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3 Benfica B
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Benfica B
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2 Benfica B
01 Aug
Atletico CP
0 : 1 Benfica B
15 May
FC Porto B
2 : 0 Benfica B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everton U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Madrid U21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Monaco II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Palace U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Valencia B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | B. Monchengladbach II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Nordsjaelland U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Juventus U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 8 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Sociedad B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 8 |
| 4 | PSG U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:10 | 1 |
| 8 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Anderlecht 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 8 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
