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Chelsea U23 vs Brighton U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Moran A.
52' Event
Vale H.
Assist: Simons X.
55'
Tsoungui A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Chelsea U23 and Brighton U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chelsea U23
15%
Draws
46%
Brighton U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brighton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelsea U23 haven't matched Brighton U23's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Chelsea U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Brighton U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U23 Brighton U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2022 Premier League 2
Brighton U23 vs Chelsea U23
1:2
Nov 26, 2021 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Brighton U23
1:1
Mar 7, 2021 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Brighton U23
0:0
Sep 25, 2020 Premier League 2
Brighton U23 vs Chelsea U23
2:0
Apr 17, 2020 Premier League 2
Brighton U23 vs Chelsea U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vale H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Brighton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moran A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U23 31 / 100
Brighton U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U23 Brighton U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brighton U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Brighton U23 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Chelsea U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U23 VS Brighton U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U23

(Home)
08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1
Tottenham U23
01 May
Blackburn U23
4 : 3
Chelsea U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2
Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0
Chelsea U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
Page 1 of 6

Brighton U23

(Away)
16 Jul
Hull City
2 : 1
Brighton U23
02 May
Tottenham U23
0 : 0
Brighton U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2
Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1
Derby U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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