Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Lavia R.
14'
14'
Neto P.
Assist: Rogers M.
32'
32'
Joao Pedro
Assist: Hato J.
AI Match Summary
Chelsea in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brighton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Chelsea haven't matched Brighton's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Brighton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chelsea Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Chelsea vs Brighton
4:3
Apr 21, 2026 Premier League
Brighton vs Chelsea
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Brighton
1:3
Feb 14, 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Chelsea
3:0
Feb 8, 2025 FA Cup
Brighton vs Chelsea
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea Compare
Top Goalscorer Lavia R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Neto P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Brighton Compare
Top Goalscorer Yalcouye M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gross P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea 30 / 100
Brighton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea Brighton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Chelsea scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Chelsea stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Brighton has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea VS Brighton
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea
(Home) 18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0 Chelsea
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1 Chelsea
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
27 Aug
Chelsea
2 : 0 Luton
15 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 1 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 4
Brighton
(Away) 19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0 Arsenal
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3 Brighton
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5 Brighton
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1 Leeds
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3 Brighton
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5 Brighton
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
20 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Brighton
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0 Brighton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
