Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Rogers M.
Assist: Joao Pedro
17'
17'
McBurnie O.
28'
28'
Belloumi M.
Assist: Giles R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelsea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chelsea lately — more wins on the board than Hull City.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Chelsea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Chelsea Clean Sheet 68%
Hull City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Chelsea vs Hull City
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 FA Cup
Hull City vs Chelsea
0:4
Jan 25, 2020 FA Cup
Hull City vs Chelsea
1:2
Feb 16, 2018 FA Cup
Chelsea vs Hull City
4:0
Jan 22, 2017 Premier League
Chelsea vs Hull City
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea Compare
Top Goalscorer Rogers M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Hull City Compare
Top Goalscorer Belloumi M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea 41 / 100
Hull City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea Hull City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Chelsea found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Hull City let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Chelsea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea VS Hull City
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea
(Home) 18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0 Chelsea
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1 Chelsea
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
27 Aug
Chelsea
2 : 0 Luton
15 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 1 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 4
Hull City
(Away) 19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 Hull City
05 Sept
Hull City
0 : 0 Aston Villa
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1 Hull City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 Hull City
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1 Hull City
25 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Hull City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
