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Chelsea W vs AS Roma W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelsea W host AS Roma W in the UEFA Champions League Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Chelsea W have averaged 2.24 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against AS Roma W's 1.89 scored and 0.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Chelsea W slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 10, 2025, ending 6:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.25) point toward Chelsea W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Chelsea W
20%
Draws
28%
AS Roma W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelsea W have won more games recently than AS Roma W.
  • Model gives Chelsea W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 19%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea W AS Roma W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 22 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 2.24 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 UEFA Champions League Women
Chelsea W vs AS Roma W
6:0
Sep 3, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Chelsea W vs AS Roma W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea W 85 / 100
AS Roma W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea W AS Roma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Chelsea W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AS Roma W has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea W VS AS Roma W
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea W

(Home)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
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AS Roma W

(Away)
03 Oct
AS Roma W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Sept
AS Roma W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 OL Lyonnes W 2 1 1 0 8:0 4
3 PSG W 2 1 1 0 6:1 4
4 Bayern Munich W 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
5 Arsenal W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Inter W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Chelsea W 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Koge W 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
9 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
10 SL Benfica W 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
11 Manchester City W 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Real Madrid W 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 Austria Vienna W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Paris FC W 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
15 Leuven W 2 0 1 1 0:5 1
16 AS Roma W 2 0 1 1 0:6 1
17 Hacken W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
18 Servette W 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/4-finals)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)