Sport Picks
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
WSL Stamford Bridge, London 
Match Events
11'
11'
James L.
Assist: Carpenter E.
59'
59'
Sub
Hijikata M. In: Taylor M.
Out: Hijikata M.
70'
70'
Sub
McAulay M. In: Murphy L.
Out: McAulay M.
AI Match Summary
The WSL game between Chelsea W and Aston Villa W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelsea W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Chelsea W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Chelsea W a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chelsea W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 68%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea W | Aston Villa W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 WSL
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 WSL
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W
4:3
Sep 14, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Chelsea W
1:3
Feb 2, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Chelsea W
0:1
Sep 20, 2024 WSL
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea W Compare
Top Goalscorer James L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Aston Villa W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea W 95 / 100
Aston Villa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea W Aston Villa W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chelsea W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Aston Villa W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Chelsea W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea W VS Aston Villa W
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea W
(Home) 04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3 Chelsea W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0 Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0 Birmingham W
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27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0 Birmingham W
05 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
26 Aug
Chelsea W
5 : 2 Real Sociedad W
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Aston Villa W
(Away) 04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1 Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0 Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
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27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0 Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
05 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
21 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
3 : 1 Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 13 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester United W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 10 | Arsenal W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 11 | West Ham W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 12 | Aston Villa W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 13 | Birmingham W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:15 | 0 |
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)
