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Chelsea W vs Everton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Stamford Bridge, London
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelsea W host Everton W in the WSL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Everton W have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Chelsea W have conceded 0.79 and scored 2.56. Head-to-head, Chelsea W have won 4 to Everton W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.94, favoring Chelsea W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chelsea W
15%
Draws
27%
Everton W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Everton W haven't matched Chelsea W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chelsea W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chelsea W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 20%
Everton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea W Everton W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 27 17
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.56 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 WSL
Everton W vs Chelsea W
1:4
Dec 7, 2025 WSL
Chelsea W vs Everton W
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 WSL
Chelsea W vs Everton W
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Everton W
4:1
Nov 3, 2024 WSL
Everton W vs Chelsea W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea W 85 / 100
Everton W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea W Everton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea W scored in 94% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Chelsea W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Everton W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea W VS Everton W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea W

(Home)
01 Nov
Charlton W
0 : 6
Chelsea W
28 Oct
Chelsea W
2 : 0
AS Roma W
25 Oct
Crystal Palace W
1 : 3
Chelsea W
18 Oct
Chelsea W
6 : 2
Tottenham W
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
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Everton W

(Away)
31 Oct
Everton W
0 : 0
Manchester United W
28 Oct
Sheffield Utd W
1 : 2
Everton W
25 Oct
Everton W
2 : 3
Aston Villa W
21 Oct
Everton W
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd W
18 Oct
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1
Everton W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea W 8 7 1 0 27:4 22
2 Manchester City W 8 7 1 0 22:10 22
3 London City Lionesses W 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
4 Tottenham W 8 4 1 3 23:17 13
5 Manchester United W 8 3 3 2 9:11 12
6 Brighton W 8 3 2 3 15:11 11
7 Arsenal W 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Everton W 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
9 Aston Villa W 8 2 4 2 10:15 10
10 West Ham W 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
11 Liverpool W 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
12 Birmingham W 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
13 Crystal Palace W 8 1 3 4 7:17 6
14 Charlton W 8 0 0 8 3:25 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)