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Chelsea W vs Manchester United W

England England

WSL Stamford Bridge
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Riviere J. In: Lundkvist H.
Out: Riviere J.
23'
George G.
34' Event
Kerr S.
Assist: James L.

AI Match Summary

Chelsea W in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chelsea W
6%
Draws
4%
Manchester United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chelsea W have won more games recently than Manchester United W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Chelsea W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chelsea W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 20%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea W Manchester United W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 WSL
Chelsea W vs Manchester United W
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Women's League Cup
Chelsea W vs Manchester United W
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Manchester United W
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 WSL
Manchester United W vs Chelsea W
1:1
May 18, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Manchester United W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerr S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Manchester United W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea W 85 / 100
Manchester United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea W Manchester United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea W scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Manchester United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Chelsea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea W VS Manchester United W
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W22181362:1955
2Arsenal W22156153:1451
3Chelsea W22154344:2049
4Manchester United W22117438:2240
5Tottenham W22113835:3836
6London City Lionesses W22831128:3527
7Brighton W22751027:2826
8Everton W22721325:3723
9Aston Villa W22551228:4820
10West Ham W22541320:4519
11Liverpool W22451321:3417
12Leicester W22231711:529