Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Cheltenham

0 - 1

Bristol Rovers

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Negru S. In: Ellison D.

Out: Negru S.

46'

Sub

Cavegn F. In: Harrison E.

Out: Cavegn F.

60'

Thomas L.

Assist: Sotiriou R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bristol Rovers in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Cheltenham

20%

Draws

36%

Bristol Rovers

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cheltenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence

Bristol Rovers have won more games recently than Cheltenham.
Cheltenham are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Bristol Rovers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Bristol Rovers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Cheltenham Clean Sheet 12%

Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cheltenham	Bristol Rovers
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	10	16
Draws	10	4
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	1.61	1.78
Goals Conceded	1.64	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League Two

Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham

4:0

Nov 22, 2025 League Two

Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers

1:0

Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy

Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers

0:1

Apr 13, 2024 League One

Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers

1:3

Dec 9, 2023 League One

Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheltenham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Bristol Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham 56 / 100

Bristol Rovers 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cheltenham Bristol Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cheltenham scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Cheltenham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bristol Rovers has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham VS Bristol Rovers

1.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham

(Home)

22 Sept

Cheltenham

3 : 2

Exeter

19 Sept

Colchester

1 : 1

Cheltenham

12 Sept

Crawley Town

1 : 3

Cheltenham

05 Sept

Cheltenham

2 : 2

Grimsby

01 Sept

Cheltenham

3 : 2

York City

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Bristol Rovers

(Away)

19 Sept

Gillingham

3 : 0

Bristol Rovers

12 Sept

Grimsby

2 : 0

Bristol Rovers

05 Sept

Bristol Rovers

1 : 0

Rotherham

01 Sept

Bristol Rovers

2 : 0

Colchester

29 Aug

Crawley Town

0 : 2

Bristol Rovers

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