Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cheltenham vs Charlton

England England

EFL Cup Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Godden M.
Assist: Carey S.
24' Event
Carey S.
Assist: Chalobah N.
37' Event
Campbell T.
Assist: Coventry C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cheltenham
35%
Draws
16%
Charlton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cheltenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Charlton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cheltenham are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Charlton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Charlton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 15%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham Charlton
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.56 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Cheltenham vs Charlton
1:3
Mar 5, 2024 League One
Cheltenham vs Charlton
1:3
Nov 28, 2023 League One
Charlton vs Cheltenham
2:1
May 7, 2023 League One
Cheltenham vs Charlton
2:2
Dec 2, 2022 League One
Charlton vs Cheltenham
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheltenham Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Charlton Compare

Top Goalscorer Godden M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carey S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham 84 / 100
Charlton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham Charlton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Cheltenham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Charlton has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham VS Charlton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham

(Home)
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2
Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
York City
29 Aug
Barnet
2 : 2
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

Charlton

(Away)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
QPR
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0
Charlton
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -