Sport Picks
Cheltenham vs Newport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Whaddon Road, Cheltenham 
AI Match Summary
Cheltenham host Newport in the League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Cheltenham have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.82 conceded recently, against Newport's 1.34 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Cheltenham slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.44, favoring Cheltenham. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cheltenham carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cheltenham have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cheltenham | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cheltenham scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Newport let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Cheltenham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Cheltenham
(Home)Newport
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York City | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 5 |
