Sport Picks
Cheltenham vs Newport
England
League Two 2025/2026 Whaddon Road, Cheltenham 
Match Events
16'
16'
Baker M.
42'
42'
Sub
Cundy R. In: Jude-Boyd A.
Out: Cundy R.
46'
46'
Sub
Davison J. In: Faal M.
Out: Davison J.
AI Match Summary
Cheltenham in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cheltenham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Newport lately — more wins on the board than Cheltenham.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Cheltenham taking it.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Cheltenham here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 10%
Newport Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cheltenham | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Newport
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Cheltenham
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Cheltenham
0:3
Sep 3, 2024 EFL Trophy
Newport vs Cheltenham
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 League Two
Cheltenham vs Newport
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cheltenham Compare
Top Goalscorer Miller G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Newport Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cheltenham 40 / 100
Newport 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cheltenham Newport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Cheltenham scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Cheltenham has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cheltenham VS Newport
1 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cheltenham
(Home) 01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3 Cheltenham
02 May
Cheltenham
1 : 4 Colchester
25 Apr
Bristol Rovers
4 : 0 Cheltenham
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Tranmere
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
02 May
Cheltenham
1 : 4 Colchester
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Tranmere
18 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 0 Newport
14 Apr
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Gillingham
Page 1 of 4
Newport
(Away) 04 Aug
Newport
1 : 4 AS Roma
01 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 2 Newport
28 Jul
Newport
0 : 4 Reading
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2 Newport
21 Jul
Bristol City
0 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 2 Newport
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2 Newport
21 Jul
Bristol City
0 : 0 Newport
11 Jul
Gloucester City
2 : 1 Newport
08 Jul
Newport City
0 : 5 Newport
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
