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Cheltenham vs Rotherham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
McCann C.
Assist: Broom R.
35'
Spence K.
38'
Tomkinson J.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Cheltenham and Rotherham finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheltenham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Cheltenham
20%
Draws
15%
Rotherham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cheltenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Cheltenham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Cheltenham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 68%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham Rotherham
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Rotherham
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 FA Cup
Rotherham vs Cheltenham
1:3
Jan 22, 2022 League One
Rotherham vs Cheltenham
1:0
Oct 2, 2021 League One
Cheltenham vs Rotherham
0:2
Mar 16, 2013 League Two
Cheltenham vs Rotherham
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheltenham Compare

Top Goalscorer McCann C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Buyabu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham 50 / 100
Rotherham 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham Rotherham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Rotherham has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Cheltenham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham VS Rotherham
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham

(Home)
31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1
Cheltenham
24 Oct
Cheltenham
1 : 0
Newport
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2
Fleetwood Town
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1
Cheltenham
13 Oct
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 6

Rotherham

(Away)
03 Nov
Rotherham
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1
Rotherham
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3
Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2
Newport
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)