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Cheltenham vs Salford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cheltenham host Salford in the League Two. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Salford have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Cheltenham have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.64. Head-to-head, Cheltenham have won 2 to Salford's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.63, favoring Salford. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Cheltenham
15%
Draws
40%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cheltenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salford come out ahead of Cheltenham on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 14%
Salford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham Salford
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Salford
3:2
Aug 29, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Cheltenham
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Salford
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 FA Cup
Salford vs Cheltenham
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 League Two
Salford vs Cheltenham
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham 35 / 100
Salford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Salford conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cheltenham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham VS Salford
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham

(Home)
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0
Cheltenham
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

Salford

(Away)
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1
Salford
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)