Sport Picks
Cheltenham vs York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Whaddon Road, Cheltenham 
Match Events
5'
5'
McWilliams S.
12'
12'
Pearce O.
17'
17'
McCann C.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Cheltenham in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cheltenham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cheltenham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- York City have won more games recently than Cheltenham.
- Model gives Cheltenham a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 68%
York City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cheltenham | York City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs York City
3:2
Apr 3, 2015 League Two
York City vs Cheltenham
1:0
Nov 1, 2014 League Two
Cheltenham vs York City
0:1
Feb 8, 2014 League Two
York City vs Cheltenham
0:0
Nov 2, 2013 League Two
Cheltenham vs York City
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cheltenham Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans J.
2 Goals Assists Leader McCann C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
York City Compare
Top Goalscorer Pearce O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Malcolm J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cheltenham 50 / 100
York City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cheltenham York City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cheltenham's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Defensive concern: York City conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Cheltenham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cheltenham VS York City
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cheltenham
(Home) 03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Rotherham
Page 1 of 3
York City
(Away) 26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 York City
14 Jul
Pickering Town
4 : 2 York City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
