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Cheltenham W vs AFC Wimbledon W

England England

Women's National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South 2025/2026 game between Cheltenham W and AFC Wimbledon W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Cheltenham W
20%
Draws
73%
AFC Wimbledon W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Wimbledon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cheltenham W come out ahead of AFC Wimbledon W on wins alone.
  • AFC Wimbledon W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Women's National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Wimbledon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham W AFC Wimbledon W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs AFC Wimbledon W
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Cheltenham W
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Cheltenham W
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs AFC Wimbledon W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham W 10 / 100
AFC Wimbledon W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham W AFC Wimbledon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Cheltenham W's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon W conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Cheltenham W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham W VS AFC Wimbledon W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham W

(Home)
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
Cheltenham W
1 : 3
Real Bedford W
Page 1 of 7

AFC Wimbledon W

(Away)
13 Sept
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Real Bedford W
23 Aug
Plymouth W
0 : 6
AFC Wimbledon W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
26 Apr
Hashtag W
2 : 2
AFC Wimbledon W
12 Apr
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Exeter W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford W 22 17 2 3 80:24 53
2 Plymouth W 22 16 4 2 61:11 52
3 Bournemouth W 22 14 4 4 61:20 46
4 Oxford Utd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
5 Lewes W 22 12 1 9 46:27 37
6 Real Bedford W 22 9 3 10 42:34 30
7 Exeter W 22 9 3 10 39:35 30
8 Cheltenham W 22 7 3 12 31:46 24
9 Hashtag W 22 6 5 11 34:38 23
10 AFC Wimbledon W 22 6 4 12 30:48 22
11 Gwalia United W 22 6 4 12 28:46 22
12 Billericay W 22 0 0 22 5:145 0
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