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Cheltenham W vs Bournemouth W

England England

Women's National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South 2025/2026 game between Cheltenham W and Bournemouth W finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Cheltenham W
20%
Draws
74%
Bournemouth W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bournemouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Bournemouth W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bournemouth W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Bournemouth W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham W Bournemouth W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.3 2.9
Goals Conceded 2.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Women's National League South
Bournemouth W vs Cheltenham W
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Bournemouth W
0:6
Sep 21, 2025 Women's National League South
Bournemouth W vs Cheltenham W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham W 10 / 100
Bournemouth W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham W Bournemouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Bournemouth W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Cheltenham W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cheltenham W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham W VS Bournemouth W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham W

(Home)
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
Cheltenham W
1 : 3
Real Bedford W
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Bournemouth W

(Away)
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Bournemouth W
4 : 1
Hashtag W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford W 22 17 2 3 80:24 53
2 Plymouth W 22 16 4 2 61:11 52
3 Bournemouth W 22 14 4 4 61:20 46
4 Oxford Utd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
5 Lewes W 22 12 1 9 46:27 37
6 Real Bedford W 22 9 3 10 42:34 30
7 Exeter W 22 9 3 10 39:35 30
8 Cheltenham W 22 7 3 12 31:46 24
9 Hashtag W 22 6 5 11 34:38 23
10 AFC Wimbledon W 22 6 4 12 30:48 22
11 Gwalia United W 22 6 4 12 28:46 22
12 Billericay W 22 0 0 22 5:145 0
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