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Chelyabinsk 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Trifanov D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Chelyabinsk 2 and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chelyabinsk 2
6%
Draws
90%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chelyabinsk 2 haven't matched Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chelyabinsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk 2 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1 3
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Chelyabinsk 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0:1
May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Chelyabinsk 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelyabinsk 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Trifanov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 2 10 / 100
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk 2 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Chelyabinsk 2 found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod let in goals in 53% of their last 17 matches.

Chelyabinsk 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk 2 VS Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelyabinsk 2

(Home)
12 Jul
Chelyabinsk 2
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
05 Jul
Ural 2
2 : 2
Chelyabinsk 2
01 Jul
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
28 Jun
Chelyabinsk 2
0 : 3
Khimik
21 Jun
FK Izhevsk
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

(Away)
12 Jul
Chelyabinsk 2
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
05 Jul
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 : 1
Khimik
01 Jul
FK Izhevsk
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
28 Jun
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4 : 0
KDV Tomsk
21 Jun
Orenburg 2
2 : 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
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