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Stadium Background

Chelyabinsk 2 vs Uralets Nizhny Tagil

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025 Central Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelyabinsk 2 play Uralets Nizhny Tagil in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chelyabinsk 2 averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Uralets Nizhny Tagil averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Chelyabinsk 2 won 0, Uralets Nizhny Tagil won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.38 for Chelyabinsk 2 and 2.56 for Uralets Nizhny Tagil. This points to a Uralets Nizhny Tagil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Chelyabinsk 2
26%
Draws
50%
Uralets Nizhny Tagil
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Uralets Nizhny Tagil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Chelyabinsk 2 picked up more points recently compared to Uralets Nizhny Tagil.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.38 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Chelyabinsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Uralets Nizhny Tagil Clean Sheet 24%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk 2 Uralets Nizhny Tagil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.67 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Uralets Nizhny Tagil vs Chelyabinsk 2
6:0
Jul 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Chelyabinsk 2 vs Uralets Nizhny Tagil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelyabinsk 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Uralets Nizhny Tagil Compare

Top Goalscorer Krotov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 2 24 / 100
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk 2 Uralets Nizhny Tagil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uralets Nizhny Tagil or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chelyabinsk 2 attacking → ← attacking Uralets Nizhny Tagil

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelyabinsk 2 scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Uralets Nizhny Tagil let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Chelyabinsk 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uralets Nizhny Tagil lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 48
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Amkar26203360:1963
2Khimik26195256:2062
3KDV Tomsk26137641:2546
4Orenburg 2261210441:2446
5Uralets Nizhny Tagil26126837:2842
6Dynamo Barnaul26125930:4041
7Volna Nizhegorodskaya261241033:3540
8Rubin Kazan 226116940:3039
9Krylya Sovetov Samara 226781129:3929
10Akron Togliatti 226831541:5227
11Chelyabinsk 226761318:4027
12Ural 226561522:5321
13Nosta26541724:5219
14Sokol Kazan2621238:237