Sport Picks
Chelyabinsk vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk 
Match Events
33'
33'
Grulev V.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Sub
Pridava N. In: Samoilov D.
Out: Pridava N.
40'
40'
Urvantsev M.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Chelyabinsk and Pari Nizhny Novgorod finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pari Nizhny Novgorod.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pari Nizhny Novgorod carry the better recent record into this one.
- Pari Nizhny Novgorod are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 10%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelyabinsk | Pari Nizhny Novgorod |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Chelyabinsk
0:1
Aug 22, 2018 Russian Cup
Chelyabinsk vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:1
Apr 24, 2017 FNL 2 - Group 4
Chelyabinsk vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2:3
Oct 29, 2016 FNL 2 - Group 4
Chelyabinsk vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelyabinsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Urvantsev M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare
Top Goalscorer Komissarov T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelyabinsk 10 / 100
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelyabinsk Pari Nizhny Novgorod
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pari Nizhny Novgorod let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Solid form: Chelyabinsk remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Chelyabinsk scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Chelyabinsk VS Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelyabinsk
(Home) 09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4 Chelyabinsk
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
15 Aug
Chelyabinsk
0 : 4 Torpedo Moscow
25 Jul
Chelyabinsk
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
(Away) 10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0 Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0 Leningradets
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
19 Aug
Veles Moscow
3 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 24 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
