Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Samoilov D.
18'
18'
Kaptilovich D.
22'
22'
Karaev D.
AI Match Summary
S. Kostroma in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Kostroma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Kostroma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to S. Kostroma lately — more wins on the board than Chelyabinsk.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on S. Kostroma taking it.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors S. Kostroma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 16%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelyabinsk | S. Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma
3:3
Aug 17, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk
2:1
May 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma
1:5
Mar 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelyabinsk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
S. Kostroma Compare
Top Goalscorer Karaev D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelyabinsk 19 / 100
S. Kostroma 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelyabinsk S. Kostroma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Chelyabinsk scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
S. Kostroma has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Chelyabinsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelyabinsk VS S. Kostroma
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelyabinsk
(Home) 26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
15 Aug
Chelyabinsk
0 : 4 Torpedo Moscow
25 Jul
Chelyabinsk
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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S. Kostroma
(Away) 26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0 S. Kostroma
09 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
1 : 3 S. Kostroma
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
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