Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gadzhimuradov R.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Gogic F.
35' Event
Eza W.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chelyabinsk
20%
Draws
38%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chelyabinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelyabinsk haven't matched S. Kostroma's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chelyabinsk a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 20%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk S. Kostroma
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma
3:3
Aug 17, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk
2:1
May 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs S. Kostroma
1:5
Mar 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk
3:1
Oct 12, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelyabinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Eza W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gongadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gogic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 42 / 100
S. Kostroma 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk S. Kostroma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Chelyabinsk's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: S. Kostroma conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Chelyabinsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk VS S. Kostroma
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
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15Ufa349101532:4037
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