Sport Picks

Russia

FNL Central Stadium

SKA Khabarovsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chelyabinsk play SKA Khabarovsk in the FNL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chelyabinsk averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. SKA Khabarovsk averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Chelyabinsk won 1, SKA Khabarovsk won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Chelyabinsk and 1.50 for SKA Khabarovsk. This points to a SKA Khabarovsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Chelyabinsk

35%

Draws

34%

SKA Khabarovsk

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SKA Khabarovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Chelyabinsk picked up more points recently compared to SKA Khabarovsk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 16%

SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chelyabinsk	SKA Khabarovsk
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	8	9
Draws	11	9
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.13	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 FNL

Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Sep 14, 2025 FNL

SKA Khabarovsk vs Chelyabinsk

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly

SKA Khabarovsk vs Chelyabinsk

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Feb 5, 2024 Club Friendly

SKA Khabarovsk vs Chelyabinsk

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 31 / 100

SKA Khabarovsk 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chelyabinsk SKA Khabarovsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SKA Khabarovsk or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chelyabinsk attacking → ← attacking SKA Khabarovsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelyabinsk scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

SKA Khabarovsk let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chelyabinsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SKA Khabarovsk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 36

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75