Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Pershin N.
46'
Sub
Eza W. In: N'Diaye B.
Out: Eza W.
54'
Sub
Baytukov R. In: Gatin B.
Out: Baytukov R.

AI Match Summary

Chelyabinsk host Torpedo Moscow in the FNL 2025/2026. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Chelyabinsk have averaged 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Torpedo Moscow's 1.5 scored and 0.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Torpedo Moscow slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.56 - 1.38) back Torpedo Moscow to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chelyabinsk
6%
Draws
90%
Torpedo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Torpedo Moscow has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chelyabinsk.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Torpedo Moscow.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 17%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk Torpedo Moscow
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Jul 20, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
2:3
Feb 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Torpedo Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
2:1
Jul 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Torpedo Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelyabinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Utkin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 10 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk Torpedo Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelyabinsk scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Torpedo Moscow let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Chelyabinsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Torpedo Moscow lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk VS Torpedo Moscow
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622