Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelyabinsk vs Ufa

Russia Russia

FNL Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelyabinsk host Ufa in the FNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ufa have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Chelyabinsk have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.11. Head-to-head, Chelyabinsk have won 1 to Ufa's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 10, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.50) point toward Ufa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Chelyabinsk
35%
Draws
40%
Ufa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ufa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ufa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 16%
Ufa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk Ufa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2025 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Ufa
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Chelyabinsk
0:0
May 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs Ufa
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Ufa vs Chelyabinsk
2:0
Jun 5, 2012 FNL 2 - Group 4
Chelyabinsk vs Ufa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 31 / 100
Ufa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk Ufa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelyabinsk scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Ufa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Chelyabinsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk VS Ufa
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelyabinsk

(Home)
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
Chelyabinsk
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk
23 Aug
Leningradets
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
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Ufa

(Away)
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ufa
23 Aug
Ufa
3 : 1
Yenisey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 11 9 1 1 30:14 28
2 PFC Sochi 11 7 1 3 20:13 22
3 Veles Moscow 11 7 1 3 15:13 22
4 S. Kostroma 10 6 3 1 14:8 21
5 Torpedo Moscow 10 6 1 3 20:8 19
6 Ural 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
7 Ufa 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 10 3 6 1 15:12 15
9 R. Volgograd 11 4 2 5 18:14 14
10 Arsenal Tula 11 3 4 4 11:19 13
11 Neftekhimik 11 4 0 7 7:14 12
12 Ulyanovsk 10 3 2 5 14:16 11
13 Leningradets 10 2 4 4 9:14 10
14 Yenisey 10 2 4 4 11:18 10
15 Chelyabinsk 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
16 Tekstilshtik 11 1 4 6 8:17 7
17 Kamaz 11 1 3 7 10:19 6
18 SKA Khabarovsk 10 1 1 8 10:22 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)