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Chemal vs Gendrim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
07:50 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chemal host Gendrim in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gendrim have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Chemal have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Chemal have won 2 to Gendrim's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.19, favoring Chemal. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chemal
20%
Draws
40%
Gendrim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemal come out ahead of Gendrim on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chemal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chemal Clean Sheet 20%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Gendrim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Chemal
2:1
Nov 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Gendrim
3:4
Apr 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Gendrim
1:0
Dec 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Chemal
0:2
Jun 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Chemal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 49 / 100
Gendrim 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Gendrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemal scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gendrim has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Chemal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Gendrim
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
12 Oct
Chemal
0 : 0
Police
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
Page 1 of 6

Gendrim

(Away)
11 Oct
Douane
1 : 2
Gendrim
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pompiers 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gendrim 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 SNIM 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Nouakchott King's 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Tevragh-Zeina 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Nouadhibou 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Armee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Police 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Kaedi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Chemal 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Nzeidane 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Nouakchott Academy 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Douane 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Kedia 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)