Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemal vs Inter Nouakchott

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bilal A.
23' Event
Mohamedou E.
51' Event
Mohamedou E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Chemal and Inter Nouakchott finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Chemal
15%
Draws
20%
Inter Nouakchott
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Chemal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Chemal taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Chemal Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Nouakchott Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Inter Nouakchott
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.37 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Chemal
3:5
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Inter Nouakchott
3:1
Mar 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Chemal
1:1
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Inter Nouakchott
3:0
Mar 11, 2024 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Chemal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohamedou E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Inter Nouakchott Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 95 / 100
Inter Nouakchott 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Inter Nouakchott

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Nouakchott's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Chemal found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Chemal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Inter Nouakchott
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
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Inter Nouakchott

(Away)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)