Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemal vs Ksar

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Chemal Logo

Chemal

1 - 0
FT
Ksar Logo

Ksar

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Mohamedou E.
57'
Diagne M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chemal in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Chemal
15%
Draws
20%
Ksar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chemal lately — more wins on the board than Ksar.
  • Win probability leans Chemal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Chemal Clean Sheet 68%
Ksar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Ksar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.37 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Chemal
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Ksar
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Ksar
0:0
Sep 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Chemal
1:2
Apr 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Ksar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohamedou E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ksar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 95 / 100
Ksar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Ksar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ksar conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Chemal's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chemal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Ksar registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Ksar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Ksar

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)