Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Ebel A.
75'
75'
Ebel A.
AI Match Summary
Babelsberg in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Babelsberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chemie Leipzig
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Babelsberg average 2.22 goals a game right now, well clear of Chemie Leipzig's 1.45.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Chemie Leipzig taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Babelsberg have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 19%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chemie Leipzig | Babelsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 2.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg
0:2
Mar 27, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Chemie Leipzig
5:0
Aug 22, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg
2:3
Dec 8, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Chemie Leipzig
3:1
Jul 27, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chemie Leipzig Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Babelsberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Ebel A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chemie Leipzig 49 / 100
Babelsberg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chemie Leipzig Babelsberg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chemie Leipzig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Chemie Leipzig scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Babelsberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.
Chemie Leipzig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chemie Leipzig VS Babelsberg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chemie Leipzig
(Home) 20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3 Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5 Chemie Leipzig
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2 Zwickau
28 Aug
Altglienicke
1 : 1 Chemie Leipzig
25 Aug
Magdeburg II
1 : 0 Chemie Leipzig
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3 Chemnitzer
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2 Zwickau
14 Aug
Chemie Leipzig
0 : 1 Jena
05 Aug
Chemie Leipzig
0 : 1 Hallescher
26 Jul
Chemie Leipzig
0 : 2 Babelsberg
Page 1 of 3
Babelsberg
(Away) 19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2 Hertha Berlin II
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1 Babelsberg
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1 Hallescher
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0 Babelsberg
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1 Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1 Babelsberg
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0 Babelsberg
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1 Babelsberg
11 Aug
Magdeburg II
3 : 1 Babelsberg
26 Jul
Chemie Leipzig
0 : 2 Babelsberg
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 23 |
| 3 | Aue | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Greifswalder FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 23:15 | 19 |
| 5 | Hallescher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 6 | BFC Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Altglienicke | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Jena | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Zwickau | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | 13 |
| 12 | BFC Preussen | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 13 | Babelsberg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Chemie Leipzig | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 16 | Rsv Eintracht | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | 6 |
| 17 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:31 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
