Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Eppendorfer R.
56' Event
Baumgart T.
70'
Groger J.

AI Match Summary

Chemnitzer in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemnitzer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chemie Leipzig
30%
Draws
47%
Chemnitzer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chemie Leipzig haven't matched Chemnitzer's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Chemnitzer taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 15%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemie Leipzig Chemnitzer
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.42 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer
1:3
Mar 4, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Chemie Leipzig
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer
2:2
Sep 10, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Chemie Leipzig
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemie Leipzig Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Eppendorfer R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baumgart T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemie Leipzig 27 / 100
Chemnitzer 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemie Leipzig Chemnitzer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemie Leipzig found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Chemnitzer has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chemie Leipzig remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemie Leipzig VS Chemnitzer
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemie Leipzig

(Home)
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
28 Aug
Altglienicke
1 : 1
Chemie Leipzig
25 Aug
Magdeburg II
1 : 0
Chemie Leipzig
Page 1 of 7

Chemnitzer

(Away)
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
25 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)