Sport Picks
Chemie Leipzig vs Erfurt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 
AI Match Summary
Chemie Leipzig host Erfurt in the Regionalliga Nordost. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Chemie Leipzig at 1.55 goals for, 1.28 against; Erfurt at 2.79 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Erfurt slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 2.25) point toward Erfurt. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Erfurt lately — more wins on the board than Chemie Leipzig.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chemie Leipzig | Erfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 2.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Chemie Leipzig found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Erfurt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Chemie Leipzig has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chemie Leipzig
(Home)Erfurt
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 46:19 | 34 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34:12 | 33 |
| 3 | Hallescher | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 30 |
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 6 | Aue | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:18 | 27 |
| 7 | Jena | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 30:28 | 21 |
| 10 | Magdeburg II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 28:29 | 20 |
| 11 | Zwickau | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:25 | 19 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:27 | 16 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:22 | 14 |
| 14 | Chemie Leipzig | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | 14 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11:26 | 11 |
| 16 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 24:43 | 11 |
| 17 | Rsv Eintracht | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15:34 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15:35 | 7 |
