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Chemie Leipzig vs Jena Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Eshele M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Chemie Leipzig and Jena finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chemie Leipzig
20%
Draws
42%
Jena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jena come out ahead of Chemie Leipzig on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jena have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 16%
Jena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemie Leipzig Jena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 22
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.47 4.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Jena
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Chemie Leipzig
2:1
Sep 2, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Jena
0:2
May 18, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Jena
0:3
Nov 30, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Chemie Leipzig
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemie Leipzig Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Eshele M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemie Leipzig 36 / 100
Jena 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemie Leipzig Jena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemie Leipzig found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chemie Leipzig stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Jena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemie Leipzig VS Jena
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemie Leipzig

(Home)
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
28 Aug
Altglienicke
1 : 1
Chemie Leipzig
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Jena

(Away)
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)