Sport Picks
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Baltyk Koszalin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
37'
37'
Palaszewski M.
45'
45'
Grzelak O.
82'
82'
Zagorski D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Baltyk Koszalin have won more games recently than Chemik Bydgoszcz.
- Model gives Chemik Bydgoszcz a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Baltyk Koszalin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:2
Apr 6, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:2
Sep 1, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chemik Bydgoszcz Compare
Top Goalscorer Grzelak O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zagorski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Baltyk Koszalin Compare
Top Goalscorer Palaszewski M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Krauze A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chemik Bydgoszcz 34 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chemik Bydgoszcz Baltyk Koszalin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Baltyk Koszalin let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Chemik Bydgoszcz's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Chemik Bydgoszcz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chemik Bydgoszcz VS Baltyk Koszalin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chemik Bydgoszcz
(Home) 10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 KKS Kalisz
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
01 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 : 3 Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 3
Baltyk Koszalin
(Away) 10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1 Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
19 Aug
Kotwica Kornik
0 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
09 Aug
Luzino
1 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
