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Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Blekitni Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jaskula H.
4' Event
Zagorski D.
13' Event
Fadecki W.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
35%
Draws
37%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz haven't matched Blekitni Stargard's recent run of results.
  • Blekitni Stargard are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Bydgoszcz Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.66 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Blekitni Stargard
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemik Bydgoszcz Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaskula H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zagorski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadecki W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kroczek D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Bydgoszcz 18 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Bydgoszcz Blekitni Stargard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Chemik Bydgoszcz found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Blekitni Stargard let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Chemik Bydgoszcz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Bydgoszcz VS Blekitni Stargard
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemik Bydgoszcz

(Home)
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

Blekitni Stargard

(Away)
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)