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Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Elana Torun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chemik Bydgoszcz host Elana Torun in the III Liga - Group II. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Chemik Bydgoszcz at 1.76 goals for, 1.9 against; Elana Torun at 1.48 for, 2.03 against. Head-to-head, Chemik Bydgoszcz have won 2 to Elana Torun's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2025, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.88, favoring Chemik Bydgoszcz. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
15%
Draws
58%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz's 1.76 goals per match outpaces what Elana Torun have produced (1.48).
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Elana Torun taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Bydgoszcz Elana Torun
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.76 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Elana Torun vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Elana Torun vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
1:0
May 3, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Elana Torun
0:0
Oct 1, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Bydgoszcz 18 / 100
Elana Torun 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Bydgoszcz Elana Torun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elana Torun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemik Bydgoszcz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Elana Torun has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Chemik Bydgoszcz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Bydgoszcz VS Elana Torun
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemik Bydgoszcz

(Home)
31 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 4
Chemik Bydgoszcz
24 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
17 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
2 : 0
Chemik Bydgoszcz
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

Elana Torun

(Away)
31 Oct
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
24 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
2 : 3
Elana Torun
17 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Kluczevia Stargard 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
3 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
4 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
5 Lech Poznan II 15 7 3 5 39:31 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)