Sport Picks
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
AI Match Summary
Gedania Gdansk in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gedania Gdansk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chemik Bydgoszcz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gedania Gdansk lately — more wins on the board than Chemik Bydgoszcz.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Gedania Gdansk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Gedania Gdansk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk
2:3
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Gedania Gdansk vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Gedania Gdansk vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chemik Bydgoszcz 30 / 100
Gedania Gdansk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chemik Bydgoszcz Gedania Gdansk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gedania Gdansk let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.
Chemik Bydgoszcz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Chemik Bydgoszcz's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Chemik Bydgoszcz VS Gedania Gdansk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Chemik Bydgoszcz
(Home) 03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 KKS Kalisz
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
01 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 : 3 Piast Gliwice
22 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 3
Gedania Gdansk
(Away) 03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4 Luzino
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
28 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
19 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
08 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 6 | KKS Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzedz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 13 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18:32 | 10 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
