Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs KKS Kalisz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Putno B.
75' Event
Pralat A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Chemik Bydgoszcz and KKS Kalisz finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
35%
Draws
30%
KKS Kalisz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • KKS Kalisz have managed 1.29 goals a game lately — Chemik Bydgoszcz are scoring more at 1.64.
  • Model gives Chemik Bydgoszcz a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Bydgoszcz KKS Kalisz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs KKS Kalisz
1:1
May 1, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs KKS Kalisz
1:1
Sep 29, 2018 III Liga - Group II
KKS Kalisz vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
3:1
Mar 18, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs KKS Kalisz
0:1
Aug 13, 2016 III Liga - Group II
KKS Kalisz vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemik Bydgoszcz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pralat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

KKS Kalisz Compare

Top Goalscorer Putno B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Bydgoszcz 65 / 100
KKS Kalisz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Bydgoszcz KKS Kalisz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemik Bydgoszcz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KKS Kalisz has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Chemik Bydgoszcz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Chemik Bydgoszcz found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Bydgoszcz VS KKS Kalisz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemik Bydgoszcz

(Home)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6

KKS Kalisz

(Away)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3
KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)